ATM-Weather Integration (AWI) NSIP Gap Analysis

ATM-Weather Integration (AWI) NSIP Gap Analysis

CAASD ATM-Weather Integration Gap Analysis Friends and Partners of Aviation Weather Claudia McKnight August 25, 2015 The contents of this material reflect the views of the author and/or the Director of the Center for Advanced Aviation System Development. Neither the Federal Aviation Administration nor the Department of Transportation makes any warranty or guarantee, or promise, expressed or implied, concerning the content or accuracy of the views expressed herein. 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Approved for Public Release: 15-2707. Distribution Unlimited. 2015 TheMITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. |2| Outline Review of ATM-Weather Integration (AWI) What is the NSIP? Why a Gap Analysis? What we found 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.

Graphics: Bing (free to use) Clipart |3| The Components of ATM-Weather Integration (AWI) Raw Weather 1 Building block of AWI Sensors, Observations, Radar, Forecast Models, etc. Translation/Constraint Identification 2 Takes raw weather (e.g., radar returns) adds information (e.g., pilot deviation models) and translates it into airspace and airport capacity (permeability and arrival/departure rates) Impact 2 Photo: MIT-LL

3 Adds traffic to the identified constraint/reduced capacity to determine impact (location, location, location) Mitigation 4 Provides ranked strategies/solutions developed based on probabilities and risk vs. gain 4 Photo: NWS 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. |4| The Levels of ATM-Weather Integration (AWI) Level Level Level Level Level

0 No Integration 1 Weather on the Glass 2 Translation 3 Traffic Impact 4 Full Integration 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. |5|

What is the NAS Segment Implementation Plan (NSIP)? FAA's blueprint for achieving NextGen Organized into Portfolios Operational Improvements (OIs) Increments Broken into Segments A (2010-2015) B (2016-2020) C (2021-2025) 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. |6| The NSIP and FAA Acquisition Enter Exit C Segment A A

20102015 The train has left the station B 20162020 The train is about to depart C 20212025 The train is now boarding B FAA Acquisition System 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.

|7| Why a Gap Analysis? C Weather is leaking out of the system B AA R DS C+ 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Verification / Validation Wheres the weather? SI AR Weather is hard

Budgets are tight Concepts are immature A |8| Our Task: ID ATM-Weather Integration Gaps w/in NSIP Weather information provided by NAS Infrastructure Portfolio 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Weather needs of all operational NSIP Increments with a dependency on weather Graphic: Bing (free to use) Clipart |9|

Whats our Goal? 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Graphic: Bing (free to use) Images Trajectory Mitigation Capacity Common Weather Needs Demand | 10 | TRANSLATION IMPACT SOLUTIONS

21 21 99 10 10 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Graphic: Bing (free to use) Clipart 22 22 | 11 | Where are the Gaps? TRANSLATION IMPACT SOLUTIONS

11 99 10 10 6C 6C 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Opportunities 7C 7C | 12 | Airborne Reroute 105208-21, CATM, Segment Bravo Allows a traffic manager to propose trajectory modifications to meet flow constraints for an airborne flight to the appropriate sector controller for action. The trajectory adjustments identify to the controller all the constraints on the requested route of flight and the proposed route. Opportunity

Level of Integration description suggests that it will need to identify NAS Constraints and Assess Impact Planned Level: L0 Suggested Level: L3 Applicable NI Increments 103121-01 Enhanced Weather Information Extended (C) 103123-01 Aircraft-to-Severe Weather (C) 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Increments that could provide the basis for Common Weather Functions 29 29 Airspace/Airport Capacity Calculator (ACC) L2 10 10

NAS Constraint/TE Impact ID (NCII/TEII) L3 T r a n s l a t e d 11 11 NAS Constraint/TE Resolution (NCR/TER) L4 W e a t h e r 103119-16 (NI) Convective Weather Avoidance Model (CWAM) for Arrival/ Departure Operations 103121-01 (NI) Generation of Enhanced Weather Information Extended

104104-02 (SepMgt) Efficient Maneuvers to Assist Aircraft in Avoiding Severe Weather 103123-02 (NI) Net-Enabled Access to NextGen Common Weather Information Source Enhanced 103123-01 (NI) Aircraft to Severe Weather Notification 104104-03 (SepMgt) Rank Ordered Conflict Resolution 105302-25 (CATM) Airport Acceptance Rate Decision Support (AARDS)* * Airport only, does not address airspace capacity. 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. | 13 | | 14 |

Next Steps Review Readiness Assessment for key increments Quantify severity of gaps Develop and propose feasible solutions 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Graphics: Bing (free to use) Clipart | 15 | Questions/Discussion The contents of this material reflect the views of the author and/or the Director of the Center for Advanced Aviation System Development. Neither the Federal Aviation Administration nor the Department of Transportation makes any warranty or guarantee, or promise, expressed or implied, concerning the content or accuracy of the views expressed herein. Approved for Public Release: 15-2707. Distribution Unlimited. 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. 2015 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Graphic: Bing (free to use) Clipart

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