Labour Migration in Ireland: Overview of trends and recent policy changes The Irish National Contact Point of the European Migration Network is funded by the European Commission and the Irish Department of Justice and Law Reform. 1. Overview of trends in migration and immigrant employment in Ireland 2. Labour migration policy and non-EU employment permits system 3. Migrant workers and the crisis 4. Features of immigrant labour market experience in Ireland Trends in Migration 1987-2010 120 100 80 40 20 2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007
2004 2003 2001 2002 2000 1998 1999 1997 1994 1995 1996 1993 1991 1992 1990 -20 1988 1989
0 1987 Thousands 60 -40 -60 Emigration Immigration Net Migration Central Statistics Office, Population and Migration Estimates Immigration by National Group 2000-2010 120 100 80 Rest of World EU10/12 Thousands 60
EU 13 UK Irish 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Central Statistics Office, Population and Migration Estimates Non-Irish Nationals in Employment 2004-2010 Employment 2004-2010 (000s) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2004 2005 2006
Irish in employment 2007 2008 2009 2010 Non-Irish in Employment Total in employment Source: Central Statistics Office: QNHS Occupational Skill Groups of Non-Irish in Employment Per Cent Non-Irish in Highly Skilled Occupations 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2%
3% 4% 5% 2004 2005 Other EU15 3% 1% 6% 2006 4% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 5% 5%
5% 2007 2008 2009 EU10/12 Non EU Source: QNHS, 2004:Q3; 2005-2010:Q2 Calendarised data Occupational Skill Groups of Non-Irish in Employment Per Cent Non-Irish in Skilled Occupations Per Cent Non-Irish in Low Skilled Occupations 30% 30% 25% 25% 20%
20% 15% 3% 10% 5% 0% 3% 2% 3% 2004 3% 6% 4% 3% 9% 4% 3% 10% 8%
10% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Other EU15 EU10/12 Non EU 0% 5% 4%
5% 15% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 15% 20% 21% 17% 10% 4% 3% 3% 3%
2% 3% 3% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Other EU15 EU10/12 Source: QNHS, 2004:Q3; 2005-2010:Q2 Calendarised data Non EU Slovakian Nationals Working in Ireland 1 Department of Social Protection Slovakian Nationals Working in Ireland 2
Census 2006 Development of Irish Labour Migration Policy Prior to early 2000s little management of economic migration Work visa/ authorisation programme introduced in 2000 Work permit allocations increased x7 between 1999-2003 to peak at 47,500 in 2003. Mainly low skilled occupations From 2002 state sought to exercise some control of work permit allocations. Labour market needs test introduced. Ineligible Occupation Sectors. Employment Permits Act 2003 State started pursuing the now well established policy of sourcing all but highly-skilled and/or scarce labour from within the EU EU Enlargement 2004. EU10 nationals granted full access to the
Irish labour market Development of Irish Labour Migration Policy Unprecedented rates of migration 2004-2007 State became increasingly active regarding management of nonEU labour migration Restrictions on non EU students access to labour market in 2004 Employment Permits Act 2006 Further restrictions on lower-skilled work permit allocations Introduced Green Card to attract highly-skilled non-EU workers Work permit requirement for Romanian and Bulgarian nationals following accession in 2007 Non-EU Employment Permits System Employer-led system State licenses arrangement between employer and potential
migrant worker after job offer has been made Controls that may be exercised by state include application of Labour market needs test, list of occupations ineligible for permits Identifying Shortages: Expert Group on Future Skills Needs, National Skills Database National Skills Bulletin 2010: No labour shortages and only limited skills shortages exist Non-EU Employment Permits System Type of Permit Conditions Associated Green Card Work Permit Intra Company Transfer Spousal/Dependent Permit
Permit Availability Most occ. with annual salary >60k Mainly for occ. 30k-60k annual salary Senior management, key personnel, trainees Spouse/dependent of GC holder Restricted list of Also under occupations 30,000 30 - 60k List of ineligible occupations Labour Market Needs Test None
Immediate Family Reunification Annual Salary > 40,000 Spouse/dependent of WP holder provided original WP holder made first application before 1 June 2009. Strengthened labour market test None Applies where original WP holder made first application after 1 June 2009. Must be legally in the State for 1 year with None None The Recession- Irelands GNP Growth Rate
Irelands Rate of Unemployment Recent Adjustments to non-EU Employment Permits System Reduction in occupations eligible for green cards in <60,000 category (quantity surveyors, building managers, and engineers and architects) Extension of list of occupations ineligible for new work permit including childcare workers; hotel tourism and catering workers Labour market needs test extended Increased processing fees for new work permit applications Restrictions on spousal permits Proposed reform of student immigration regime
Recent Adjustments to Immigration System Redundant employment permit holders scheme Administrative long term residency scheme extended to workers made redundant after 5 years Undocumented workers scheme Third level graduate scheme Unemployment Rates by Nationality 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Q3 2004 Q1 2005 Q3 2005 Q1 2006 Irish Q3 2006
Q1 2007 Q3 2007 Non-Irish Q1 2008 Q3 2008 Q1 2009 Q3 2009 EU10/12 Alan Barrett and Elish Kelly (2010) The Impact of Irelands Recession on the Labour Market Outcomes of its Immigrants. ESRI Working Paper Annual Percentage Change in Employment 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0
-10.0 -20.0 -30.0 Q3 2005 Q1 2006 Q3 2006 Q1 2007 Q3 2007 Irish Q1 2008 Q3 2008 Q1 2009 Q3 2009
Non-Irish Q3 2009 annual rate of employment loss: Non-Irish nationals almost 20%. Nationals 7% Employment Loss by Sector, Q1 2008 to Q4 2009 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0 Irish Non-Irish Key point: loss of employment for non-Irish not solely related to an overconcentration in construction. Barrett and Kelly, 2010 How was the employment loss among non-Irish nationals distributed across unemployment, inactive and out-migration? Q1 2008-Q4 2009 40,000 20,000 0 -20,000 -40,000 -60,000
-80,000 -100,000 Em ploym ent Unem ployed Inactive Barrett and Kelly, 2010 Population Some Features of Immigrant Labour Market Experience in Ireland Immigrant earnings disadvantage of 18% relative to comparable natives, on average (Barrett and McCarthy, 2007) For EU10 nationals, the disadvantage was 45%; larger than for any other group Lower occupational attainment: EU10 nationals about 20% less likely to be in higher-skilled jobs relative to comparable Irish nationals (Barrett and Duffy, 2008) Some evidence of labour market discrimination: Field experiment found that candidates with Irish-sounding
names more than twice as likely to be called to interview than those with African/Asian/German names. McGinnity et al (2009) Not all negative! EU10/12 workers making informed choice. Relatively low incidence of racism Integration Policy Integration policy development (as applies to all migrants rather than only refugees) relatively recent; Office of the Minister for Integration established in 2007; First policy statement 2008, Migration Nation : Two-way process Partnership approach between government and NGOs Strong link between integration policy and social inclusion measures Mainstreaming approach to service delivery to migrants Commitment to effective local delivery Budget of OMI cut in 2010, likely to be reduced further. Main Emerging Issues
Irelands recession appears to have impacted severely upon its immigrant population and the most severe impact appears to have been for the EU10/12 Recent employment fall has coincided with an outflow (Barrett and Kelly, 2010) Increasing unemployment means issuing employment permits to non-EU workers potentially problematic, especially in lower salary bands (spousal permits). Little evidence of serious unrest in this regard Challenge for policymakers of finding balance between limiting further labour migration and integration of workers already here Ireland has opted out of Long Term Residence Directive and Blue Card Directive. Delays in enacting the Immigration, Residence and Protection Bill 2010. Long-term residence not yet a statutory status